Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 7.973537 9.110338 10.362995 11.847576 13.561461 15.480831 17.797308
2025-08-31 6.279315 7.715698 9.424850 11.615275 14.357846 17.691034 22.068643
2025-09-07 5.570759 7.212925 9.278516 12.081267 15.806507 20.617394 27.349132
2025-09-14 4.951306 6.687895 8.972850 12.221201 16.755959 22.914018 31.998566
2025-09-21 4.419883 6.189809 8.610212 12.192172 17.409983 24.812732 36.251938
2025-09-28 3.959337 5.724188 8.221261 12.050828 17.845035 26.394536 40.169987
2025-10-05 3.728810 5.554409 8.221527 12.452082 19.087743 29.252216 46.300038
2025-10-12 3.507846 5.370349 8.172650 12.758021 20.194273 31.988758 52.526710
2025-10-19 3.345946 5.256375 8.211753 13.192260 21.529907 35.201489 59.881345
2025-10-26 3.038998 4.883047 7.805977 12.861071 21.563947 36.261041 63.656028
2025-11-02 2.802556 4.601039 7.518775 12.691788 21.840868 37.737138 68.302148
2025-11-09 2.596995 4.351257 7.260657 12.542210 22.126502 39.238498 73.138362
2025-11-16 2.399691 4.101803 6.986516 12.346669 22.324055 40.625587 77.976633
2025-11-23 2.214705 3.858178 6.701532 12.103675 22.407082 41.803515 82.541352
2025-11-30 2.160552 3.840429 6.811132 12.590647 23.904517 45.804277 93.242978
2025-12-07 2.060561 3.730856 6.744534 12.736893 24.752474 48.617234 101.817669
2025-12-14 1.945138 3.583126 6.594630 12.706554 25.242167 50.752908 109.191567
2025-12-21 1.824725 3.416385 6.395122 12.558836 25.474822 52.375131 115.619203
2025-12-28 1.782939 3.396710 6.474827 12.978198 26.924603 56.706559 128.726657
2026-01-04 1.731643 3.354132 6.505591 13.297972 28.190941 60.769210 141.725987
2026-01-11 1.697577 3.342871 6.597016 13.751886 29.792440 65.740607 157.559532
2026-01-18 1.583143 3.160377 6.327036 13.405687 29.571796 66.540354 163.162270
2026-01-25 1.494142 3.023877 6.141823 13.228741 29.719065 68.207834 171.179869